PRESS RELEASE

December 7, 2011

For Immediate Release

       

MOMENTUM PUSHES NOVEMBER MLS® MARKET ACTIVITY TO NEW HIGH

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November MLS® Dollar Volume Surpasses $200 Million for First Time

WINNIPEG - Mustache or not, WinnipegREALTORS®’ Movember stands for MLS® momentum. In the last few months, 2011 has been exceptional and now the year-to-date is challenging the best year ever… 2007. November set a new sales record for the month, edging out November 2007 by one sale. The dollar volume vaulted 30% higher than 2007 and is 11% better than 2010, which was the highest November on record until this year.

While it appears 2007, with a 200 sale lead over 2011, is a sure bet to hold its title as the all time best year with over 13,000 MLS® sales, it will easily be supplanted by 2011 for dollar volume. It is still possible, if momentum carries the day again in December, that 2011 could be only the second year in WinnipegREALTORS® illustrious 108-year history to crack the 13,000 sales level.

November MLS® unit sales increased 6% (881/829) while dollar volume rose 11% ($202.1 million/$182.2 million) in comparison to the same month last year. Year-to-date MLS® sales are up 7% (12,367/11,583) while dollar volume is ahead by 12% ($2.88 billion/$2.58 billion) in comparison to the same period last year. Just under 70% of all listings entered on the MLS® have sold this year.

The residential-detached property type led the way this month with an 8% increase in sales and 14% rise in dollar volume in relation to what happened last November. It  also made up 74% of all MLS® sales activity this month. Condos grabbed the second highest market share at 12% of total MLS® sales.

Speaking of condominiums, with a month to go, sales for the first time have gone over 1,500 and that represents a 12% increase over the same period last year. However, the most notable and marked positive change in sales from last year is vacant lots with 500 sales so far and a 25% increase over 2010.

“Contrary to what some people and prognosticators think given global economic uncertainty and warning signs for Canada’s economic outlook, our local MLS® market is firing on all cylinders as consumers are seeing housing as a haven of stability in contrast to other investments,” said Ralph Fyfe, president of WinnipegREALTORS®. “Of course helping them make their decision easier is the continuation of very low and favourable mortgage rates. As a result, Winnipeg still has some of the most affordable house prices for any major city in Canada and certainly is by far the lowest among Canadian cities with an NHL team.”

“One reason condominiums have been so popular this year is not only for the alternative lifestyle they offer a buyer but also the attractive pricing compared to detached single family homes,” said Fyfe. “Over 50% of condominium sales in November sold in the $150,000 to $199,999 price range whereas with residential-detached homes, only 18% sold in this price range.

For residential-detached sales in November, the most active price range was from $200,000 to $249,999 with 24% of total sales. The ranges immediately above and below this range were evenly split and together, represented another 35% of total sales. As for condominiums, $150,000 to $199,999 with 53% of total sales was the most active range. A distant second range was from $100,000 to $149,999 at 18%.

The average days on market to sell a residential-detached home was 27 days, 2 days quicker than last month and 5 days faster than November 2010. The average days on market to sell a condominium was 32 days, 3 days slower than last month and 2 days faster than November 2010.

Established in 1903, WinnipegREALTORS® is a professional association representing over 1,600 real estate brokers, salespeople, appraisers, and financial members active in the Greater Winnipeg Area real estate market.  Its REALTOR® members adhere to a strict code of ethics and share a state-of-the-art Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) designed exclusively for REALTORS®.   WinnipegREALTORS® serves its members by promoting the benefits of an organized real estate profession.  REALTOR®, MLS® and Multiple Listing Service® are trademarks owned and controlled by the Canadian Real Estate Association and are used under licence.

For further information, contact Peter Squire at 786-8854.

Kelowna, BC (December 6, 2011) RE/MAX Western Canada Press Release

 Canadian residential real estate defied conventional logic and outperformed expectations in 2011, posting another solid year of housing activity virtually across the board. The trend is expected to carry forward into 2012 as Canadians continue to demonstrate their faith in homeownership, despite concerns over the European debt crisis and its impact on the global economy, according to a report released today by RE/MAX. 

The RE/MAX Housing Market Outlook 2012 examined trends and developments in 26 major markets across the country. Eighty-eight per cent (23/26) anticipated average price increases by year-end 2011—with percentage hikes ranging from one to 16 per cent. The forecast for 2012 shows the upward trend moderating, but still ahead of 2011 figures. Overall home sales are expected to remain on par or ahead of last year’s levels in 85 per cent (22/26) of markets in 2011—including Saskatoon with a year-over-year percentage increase of 13 per cent and an eight per cent uptick in Calgary, Winnipeg, Hamilton-Burlington and Sudbury.   Almost half of Canadian markets will match the 2011 performance, while the remainder should post increases ranging from one to five per cent next year. 

 

By year-end, an estimated 460,000 homes are expected to change hands, up three per cent from the 447,010 units reported in 2010. Sales are expected to climb one per cent to 464,500 units in 2012. The value of a Canadian home is set to climb to $363,000 by year-end—an increase of seven per cent over the $339,030 posted one year ago. By year-end 2012, the average price in Canada is forecast to appreciate two per cent to $371,000.

 

“What 2011 proves is that real estate continues to have momentum,” says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. “The economic underpinnings support ongoing demand, particularly as job creation efforts continue and unemployment rates edge down further. Nationally, we remain on an upward track, and the confidence consumers have demonstrated in housing over the past decade will prove well founded once again next year. The rising belief in homeownership is key, especially among Generation X and Y—some of whom are making their moves sooner. Boomers and retirees are changing, too. They’re healthier and more active, with longer life expectancy. Overall, we’re seeing an extension of the homeownership cycle, and it’s great news for housing going forward.”

 

Improvement in both provincial and local economies, especially during the second half of 2012, should serve to further stimulate homebuying activity. Calgary, Saskatoon, and Halifax-Dartmouth will likely lead the country in unit sales in 2012, each with a projected increase of five per cent.  Regina, Greater Toronto, Saint John, Moncton, and St. John’s anticipate a three per cent increase in home sales next year.

 

 “Canadian consumers are intent on making their moves now, in advance of higher housing values,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Housing markets are not impervious to the impact of economic concerns moving forward, but real estate has proven its resilience time and again—2011 was case in point, as residential real estate markets actually experienced an upswing in the volatile third and final quarters, instead of responding to economic concerns both here and abroad with a retreat in sales and prices.”

 

While tighter supply levels contributed to steady price appreciation in most major markets across Canada this year, an increase in inventory more in line with years previous should ease upward pressure on average price in the year ahead. The highest appreciation is expected in Regina, where values are forecast to increase eight per cent, followed by Greater Toronto, Halifax-Dartmouth, and St, John’s—each posting a five per cent gain. Overall, 81 per cent of the markets examined are forecast to set new records for average price next year. Noteworthy milestones include Greater Vancouver, which will break the $800,000 threshold, as well as Regina and Kitchener-Waterloo, which will reach the $300,000 mark.

 

“While prices will remain on the upswing, buyers will benefit from greater selection moving forward,” says Sylvain Dansereau, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Quebec. “Stability or modest growth will characterize sales activity, while GDP moves forward at a more muted pace in 2012. Whether markets will meet or potentially exceed projections will hinge largely on consumer confidence.  An unexpected call for interest rate hikes could also serve to bolster sales.”

 

Other highlights include:

 

·         Population growth and immigration are major factors expected to prop-up housing demand and household formation in the coming years. Since 2000, Canada’s population has experienced double-digit growth of 11 per cent. By 2031, over 42 million people are expected to call Canada home.

·         Investment will also continue in Canada’s major centres, with income producing properties at the top of the most wanted list. Low vacancy rates and stock market volatility reinvigorated this segment of the market in 2011 and the very same factors are forecast to influence sales moving forward.

·         Condominiums are expected to gain an increasing share of the marketplace, particularly in Western Canada and Ontario. A focus on higher density urban growth is impacting purchasing patterns and introducing new, affordable options—critical to the attainability of homeownership as price continue to move upward.

·         Housing stock in major Canadian centres will improve as municipalities focus on redevelopment and revitalization. 

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